Monthly Archives: April 2019

041919 Forecast

ALERT For High Water Levels And Local Flooding Through The Overnight Into Saturday Morning

Up to 3.00″+ of rainfall has caused creeks draining the High Knob Massif and adjoining areas to exceed or approach flood stage.  Extreme caution is advised through tonight into Saturday morning.

Big Stony Creek crested half a foot above flood stage at 8:15 PM, with additional downpours likely to cause even higher levels before colder air fully takes hold of the mountains.

Big Stony Creek Stream Levels_Up To 9:45 PM April 19, 2019

Merely the latest in a series of spikes to near and above flood stage, with some 35.00″ to 40.00″ of precipitation since the beginning of December ( > 30.00″ this year ).

The highest water levels since late February flooding are being observed.  More downpours, due to current conditions, will continue to pose a flooding risk into the overnight and early hours of Saturday.

The large landslide near Cracker Neck should be monitored for any possible additional slippage.

041219 Forecast

The Storm Prediction Center Has Issued An Enhanced Risk For Severe Thunderstorm Development On Palm Sunday ( April 14 )

Storm Prediction Center Risk For Sunday_April 14, 2019

Follow the Storm Prediction Center out of Norman, Oklahoma for updated risk regions and advance notifications of potential watches.

Storm Prediction Center Discussion
Storm Prediction Center Wind Damage Probability_Within 25 Miles Of Any Point
Storm Prediction Center Tornado Probability_Within 25 Miles Of Any Point
Storm Prediction Center Damaging Hail Probability_Within 25 Miles Of Any Point

SPC Storm Reports For April 13

250 MB Jet Stream Flow Field

850 MB Low-Level Jet Flow

Any needed warnings will be issued by regional National Weather Service Forecast Offices:

MRX_Morristown, Tennessee

JKL_Jackson, Kentucky

RLX_Charleston, West Virginia

RNK_Blacksburg, Virginia

National Weather Service Coverage Areas_USA

One of the best full screen and interactive Doppler radars for tracking live action is offered by WSAZ, the Tri-State leader out of Huntington-Charleston West Virginia and Ashland-Ironton in KY-OH:

WSAZ-TV Interactive Doppler Radar

The Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Analysis Page offers a host of parameters to look at near real-time conditions during severe weather and any type of atmospheric setting of interest.

The NOAA GOES Image Viewer offers the best satellite images for recent and near real-time weather conditions.

Choosing the Great Lakes Sector generally offers the best viewing of the Mountain Empire.