091316 Forecast

Mountain Area Forecast ( Sept 11-13 )

Saturday Night Into Sunday Morning

Cloudy with showers and possible thunder into early overnight, then a chance for rain showers into morning.  Winds becoming NW-N at 5-10 mph, with higher gusts.  Temperatures dropping into the mid 50s to middle 60s, coolest at highest elevations.

Sunday Afternoon

Becoming partly-mostly sunny.  Cooler and less humid with refreshing air.  Winds N-NE at generally less than 10 mph.  Temperatures varying from 60s in upper elevations to the mid-upper 70s.

Sunday Night Into Monday Morning

Partly to mostly clear.  SE-SSE winds mostly less than 10 mph along mid-upper elevation mountain ridges.  Temps varying from mid-upper 40s in cooler mountain valleys to the mid-upper 50s.  Areas of fog, especially along lakes and in main river valleys.

Monday Afternoon

Partly to mostly cloudy.  Slight chance of a shower or sprinkle.  Light SSE-SSW winds.  Temperatures varying from low 70s in upper elevations to the lower 80s ( warmer south into the Great Valley ).

Monday Night Into Tuesday

Partly to mostly clear.  S-SW winds 5-10 mph, with higher gusts, along mid-upper elevation mountain ridges.  Temps varying from 50 to 55 degrees in cooler mountain valleys to the lower 60s.  Areas of fog around lakes and rivers.

 

Weather Discussion ( Warm Trend )

A cold front featuring scattered showers and local downpours will continue passing across the mountains Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Doppler Radar At 9:29 PM Saturday - September 10, 2016
Doppler Radar At 9:29 PM Saturday – September 10, 2016

A cooler, refreshing air mass follows during Sunday into Sunday night-Monday morning with another taste of early autumn in the mountains.

European 51-Member Ensemble MEAN 500 MB Height Anomalies - DAYS 3 to 7
European 51-Member Ensemble MEAN 500 MB Height Anomalies – DAYS 3 to 7
Nothing has changed in the big picture from my previous outlook, with MEAN 500 MB Heights continuing to run above average with ridging over the southeastern USA ( above ) during the bulk of this coming week.
European 51-Member MEAN 850 MB Temp Anomalies - DAYS 3 to 7
European 51-Member MEAN 850 MB Temp Anomalies – DAYS 3 to 7
Following cooling felt in the short-term this will return and continue the above to much above average temperature trend observed so far in September ( especially by day ).

Although the mountains will not reach 90 degrees, the Great Valley will have a chance to pad the all-time record number of 90 degree days now observed in the Tri-Cities.