Mostly clear to partly cloudy ( high clouds ). Chilly. Frost in colder mountain valleys. Winds ESE to S at 5-15 mph, with higher gusts, along mid-upper elevation mountain ridges. Temps varying from 30 to 35 degrees in colder valleys to the middle-upper 40s ( exposed ridges ). Fog along main streams, lakes & wetlands.
Tuesday Afternoon
Partly to mostly sunny. Light S to SW winds. Temperatures varying from the upper 50s to lower 60s in upper elevations to the upper 60s to lower 70s ( warmer in the Great Valley ).
Tuesday Night Into Wednesday Morning
Mostly clear. Chilly. Light SSE-SW winds along mid-upper elevation mountain ridges. Temperatures varying from 30 to 35 degrees in colder mountain valleys to mid-upper 40s. Frost in colder mountain valleys, with fog along main streams, lakes & wetlands.
Wednesday Afternoon
Mostly sunny. Pleasant. Light SSE-SSW winds. Temps varying from lower-mid 60s in upper elevations to the lower-middle 70s ( warmer south into the Great Valley ).
Wednesday Night Into Thursday Morning
Partly-mostly clear ( high clouds ). Winds becoming SSW-WSW at 5 to 15 mph, with higher gusts, along mid-upper elevation mountain ridges. Temperatures varying from the 30s in colder mountain valleys to the upper 40s to low 50s.
Weather Discussion ( Nice Pattern )
Cold to chilly nights and pleasant days will continue to be featured this week as a nice autumn pattern controls the mountain region.
European Model 850 MB Temp & Surface Analysis at 8 AM Monday – October 10
Patchy to widespread frost formed in mountain valleys into morning hours of Monday as low temperatures fell into the 30 to 35 degree range in typically colder mountain valleys from Wise and Dickenson counties to Tazewell County.
This pattern will be repeated into Tuesday-Wednesday mornings, with fog also forming along main streams, lakes & wetlands. By contrast, thermal belt sites will sit high and dry with nocturnal temperatures which are milder and no chance for frost and fog.
NAM 12 KM Model Total Precipitation Forecast – Next 84 Hours
The pattern remains mostly dry through the work week, with some increased chances for showers by this weekend into next week as a mild ( for October ) pattern rules.
