072018 Forecast

Mountain Area Forecast ( July 20-22 )

Headlines

*While hit-miss showers & thunderstorms will be possible Friday, chances increase significantly tonight into early Saturday with the potential for strong to locally severe thunderstorms approaching from the WNW & NW-N.

Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Risk Regions

*A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms will need to be closely monitored as it drops southeast to south out of the Ohio Valley Friday evening into the overnight of Saturday.

Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Risk Regions

*A cooler and occasionally wet weekend-early week period is expected as a upper-level low develops and moves south over the region by Sunday into Monday ( July 22-23 ).  The coolest conditions will be over the high country where day time temperatures will mainly hover in the 60s ( only near 60 degrees at highest elevations ).

ECMWF Ensemble Mean 500 MB Height Anomalies: Days 1-5

Overnight Into Friday Morning

Partly-mostly cloudy.  Small chance of a localized shower or thunderstorm.  Areas of dense valley fog.  Winds SSE to SSW at 5-15 mph, with higher gusts, along mid-upper elevation mountain ridges.  Temperatures varying from the upper 50s to the mid-upper 60s.

Friday Morning Through The Afternoon

Partly to mostly cloudy.  Chance of hit-miss showers or thunderstorms with local downpours.  SSE to SSW winds at 5-15 mph, with higher gusts.  Temperatures varying from lower-middle 70s to the lower-mid 80s ( coolest in upper elevations above 3000 feet ).

Friday Night Into Saturday Morning

Showers & thunderstorms becoming likely.  Some storms could be strong to severe.  Locally heavy rainfall possible. Winds SSE-SSW at 5-15 mph, with higher gusts, on mid-elevation mountain ridges-exposed plateaus.  Winds SSW-WSW at 10-20 mph, with higher gusts, on upper elevation mountain ridges.  Temperatures widespread in the 60s.

Saturday Morning Through The Afternoon

Showers & thunderstorms.  Locally heavy rainfall possible. Winds SSW to WSW at 5-15 mph, with higher gusts.  Temps varying from the low-mid 60s at highest elevations to the mid-upper 70s.

Reference Mid-Summer 2018 In The High Knob Massif for recent climate data and current highlighted species of interest.