070220 Forecast

Independence Day Holiday Period

*Mid-Summer conditions will feature warmer than average temperatures and many dry hours during the Independence Day Holiday period.

Any thunderstorm that develops during the Holiday period could become briefly and locally strong to severe, with dangerous lightning, gusty winds, and downpours of rain. Coverage is expected to generally remain low.

Chances for hit-miss showers and thunderstorms will remain low through Saturday, with somewhat better chances for afternoon and evening activity during Sunday and Monday of the Holiday period.

July Opens Amid Warmer-Drier Trend

European Model_850 MB Temperature Anomaly Forecast_3-8 July 2020

A warmer than average temperature trend is being predicted by forecast models during the first half of July across much of the continental USA.

European Model_850 MB Temperature Anomaly Forecast_7-12 July 2020

A trend toward somewhat cooler temperatures toward mid-July is currently being indicated, driven by a possible increase in showers & thunderstorms.

A drier than normal rainfall trend, in general, is being forecast by models during the first couple weeks of July.

Actual rainfall amounts, however, will undoubtedly vary significantly across the region (reference June).

European Ensemble Mean_500 MB Height Anomaly Forecast_7-12 July 2020

Recap Of June 2020

It should be noted that following maps use model interpolation in between actual data collection sites, such that local conditions may be different than represented (especially in complex terrain).

Mean Temperature_June 2020

June 2020 featured near to slightly below average temperatures and rainfall amounts that varied from much below average to much above average.

Precipitation Anomaly_June 2020
Mean Max Temperature Versus Average_June 2020

The coolest temperatures, relative to longer-term averages, were experienced during the day.

Mean Min Temperature Versus Average_June 2020

June Precipitation Totals

High Country (Upper Elevations)

High Knob Lake Basin of High Knob Massif_24 June 2020

Snowshoe Mountain (WV): 8.46″
(+3.62″)

Mount LeConte (TN): 8.28″
(+0.98″)

Big Cherry Lake Dam (VA): 7.48″
(+1.35″)

Canaan Mountain (WV): 5.91″
(+0.67″)

Beech Mountain (NC): 5.72″
(+0.70″)

Eagle Knob (VA): 5.65″

Grandfather Mountain (NC): 5.36″
(-0.95″)

Newfound Gap (TN): 5.34″

Mount Mitchell (NC): 4.95″
(-0.40″)

Black Mountain (KY): 4.76″

Boone 1 SE (NC): 4.21″
(-0.85″)

Burkes Garden (VA): 3.97″
(-0.25″)

Middle-Lower Elevations

Pink Peony_Clintwood, Virginia

Wytheville (VA): 7.15″
(+3.58″)

Roan Mountain 3 SW (TN): 4.10″

Grundy (VA): 3.86″
(-0.64″)

Richlands (VA): 3.52″
(-0.43″)

Wise 1 SE (VA): 3.30″
(-1.16″)

Saltville 1 N (VA): 3.08″
(-1.07″)

Clintwood 1 W (VA): 2.91″
(-1.88″)

Tri-Cities (TN): 2.75″
(-1.15″)

Lebanon (VA): 2.57″
(-2.01″)

Abingdon 3 S (VA): 2.33
(-1.73″)

Rogersville 1 NE (TN): 2.06″
(-1.75″)